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2020-04-11 "Even if these people have low "infection literacy", our efforts are not spoiled immediately" [長年日記]

Currently, people are asked for refraining from going out and contacting other people all over Japan.

I'm basically closed at home, the other day, an “emergency urgent business” occurred, and I took the train after a long time.

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On the way home, at the ticket gate of the station, I was not a little shocked that I found a group of youth who were playing with friends while shouting out

To be honest, I wanted to beat them.

In foreign countries, there have been cases where residents killed a group of young people who were making noise in front of their homes with guns.

In Japan, something similar has already happened, and I think it will be news.

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However, I think that what we are careful, is

"Even if these people have low "infection literacy", our efforts are not spoiled immediately"

This is clear from the results of this simple simulation.

(Note: it doesn't appear in IE browser).

The result is clear if you check "Stay at Home" with or without.

Even if "Stay at Home" is checked, a certain number of people do not comply with "Stay at Home", however, the simulator indicates that the infection has been controlled.

In other words, if the number of people with low "infection literacy" can be reduced, the infection can be controlled.

From these results, you can see that the policy of the government and local governments, "Reduce the number of people contacting by 80%", makes sense.

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Regarding "the youth who are playing with 5 friends", we seem to think that they are usually playing with 25 friends (that is, 80% reduction), and we don't think

"They are criminally incompetent"

This is not for them, but for our mental health.