Before, I made a simulator of population estimation, and got a result that all Japanese is going to vanish away by A.D. 3222.

It was a simple program that was used both total fertility rate and death rate.

Though I have to input the death rate in my program source file by my hand, this is an interesting process.

For example, the death rate is

One of ten thousand in the 10's

Six of ten thousand in the 20's

One thousand two hundred of ten thousand in the 85's

Two thousand and twenty-five of ten thousand in the 90's

Three thousand and eighty-eight of ten thousand in the 95's

Now I don't have to think that "I still might not to be in next year"

In the near future, I am about to calculate

"The probability to survival is in next year is 90%"

It might interest me, though,

"The probability to death is in this year is 10%"

will make me unhappy.

(Continuation from yesterday)

For example, college researchers is apt to make character presentation material without picture.

Though they are about to make their materials easier to read, it is obvious that they want to cut corners.

Some persons tell that design restricts expansion of technical thoughts, but this is a nonsense as a double meaning.

Design is coming at the first phrase of technical realization. So there is no technology without design phrase.

Above all, the purpose of patent rights is to protect creations of obstacle technology thoughts, however, practical example should be attached in patent applications.

This means, patent law declares "I don't give you any patent right without specified application with designs and method. You should open at least one example"

More over, the story will arrive at the following saying,

"Don't be dumb! Technology without design ? What is on earth it?"

-----

Of course, I know well that some object is difficult to realize as a design, like method invention(algorithm) or product concept.

But even if that, we can make them as design.

One of them is "personification".

(To be continued)

(Continuation from yesterday)

On the other hand, if Nancy can show the profit of "EU stay",( and it is O.K. even if it not perfect),

the next time, the "burden of proof" moves to Tom, who should show the profit of "EU breakaway"

It is "counter proof".

It is said "change of burden of proof"

If Tom fails to do this "counter proof", Tom is going have the worst of this dispute.

-----

I think that in order to insist the claim of their own, some people are likely to act, for example, "making opposite people put the proofs", is normal.

However I am afraid that it is a clear

"unreasonable logic"

-----

For example,

The other day, I read a comment, that there was a meeting of foster parent(FP) of cats that rejects to join single men, and a person (maybe "male") became resentful.

In this case, the promoter seemed to reject joining a single man with reasons of luck of cat management (or abuse intention to meet a single woman (just my estimation, though)).

This man seemed to claim

"The promoter should show me the data that a single man lacks the management capability of cat management."

and,

to tell you the truth, I can understand his anger deeply, however,

in this case, it is reasonable that the man who get angry,

"should show the promoter the data that a single man doesn't lack the management capability of cat management."

and argue against the meeting policies(even if he really want to do it).

This is a simple and basic example of "burden of proof".

(To be continued)

(Continuation from yesterday)

"Unless the Pythagorean theorem exists, the world is moving". I am afraid, but this is true.

(Or, there might be a logic that it is no problem to exist some few experts )

In much the same way, the world that no ancient writing, no world history, no English, and no Japanese and no books that are written by a simple-minded author couple, is also moving.

Extremely speaking, "learning" or "studying" is not indispensability for the world.

-----

However I think the world without "learning" or "studying" is not good for "ecology".

It looks "it is tremendous inefficient" for me.

Because I think that the supreme goal of "learning" or "studying" is conversation (or communication).

Basically,

Numbers, math. and science are for conversations with objects,

Ancient writing and history are for conversations with past era and people,

English is for conversations with people who use different language each other,

Japanese is for conversations with people who want to convey the detailed intentions.

The method how to understand the world without conversations is unique.

It is "violence".

The society made by just "violence" is, obviously, wasting tremendous resource(including human life), and far from unassured daily life.

-----

There might be almost same between blindness of "Pythagorean theorem" and "auxiliary verb conjugation of ancient writing".

Maybe, both are important, and at the same time we don't care them at all.

However if we build against "learning" or "studying", it means that we will reject a conversation with the world.

"It is insufficient and gives us unassured daily life", if this Ebata's assumption is true,

Knowing many things in many field, and keeping them in our mind, are

good methods to put daily life at our ease

might be true,

Well, it might not be true, however.

Whatever it is, bit coins or local currency, is O.K. so,

I hope that someone will make a currency that can be attached to e-mails.

-----

To become an officer or group leader of a neighborhood association is a fine penalty,

The task of "collecting membership fees of neighborhood association" is the ultimate penalty game

I invited frowns of disgust because I publicly proclaimed the above phrases.

However this is true.

Even so, it is not a good thing to say anything.

-----

If I can attach a currency by email, I will feel easy for remittance and receipt.

And I can reduce an ultimate penalty game of group leader of a neighborhood association

I am in charge of editing the town association newsletter, but since this year, I have launched a policy to stop collecting funds for sponsors' shops.

"Because it is troublesome"

As a result, I made numbers of advertising sponsorship reduce dynamically

Instead, I decided to halve the page and bring most of the articles to the neighborhood association's Web site.

-----

Activities of neighborhood associations are continuous of surprises, and I was surprised this time as well.

Some of the stores that are sponsored by the newsletter did not even have a website, even a mail address.

"How are they are attracting customers?"

In order to understand this situation, I have to accept the real that matching both

(A) a store which does not assume a Web site,

(B) a customer who is not required to use the website

is established

In this way, analog is still a power that can not be ignored.

For the human race, the digital might be non mainstream.

Simply, just about this 20 years, is just a strange era.

-----

So, what I am doing now is studying virtual currency.

I am crazy about the illusion for how to make virtual currency for neighborhood association that can be attached by e-mail.

Now, many engineers are open their technical troubles on the Internet.

Some people, like me, upload them to their own memo(blog). The others used Wiki and Qiita.

The reason why they, including me, open the information is for themselves, in order to avoid same trouble again,

never "for everyone in the world".

If they have to make a memo, they open it with the light feeling of "for the world incidentally".

There is not intention of "hold a mirror to society" like a newspaper company, but "self-profit" only.

However, at least, the memo is more helpful for me than an article of newspaper.

By the way.

-----

These memos are for free basically(thinking of it, this is amazing), but it is no problem eve if a charged memo is needed.

If you ask me "is it a book?", I say "yes". Recently I am interested in an activity.

"Technical Book Festival"

In a word, "Comic Market for Technology"

This is an outline about "comic market".

This event will be held at "Ikebukuro Sunshine City", exhibits and sells easy-to-understand "thin books" about technology, without passing through the publisher.

(The books published at the event are really thin, readable, and convenient, of course without erotic elements. I write "thin book" for my convenience) .

However the contents of "thin book" is really formidable.

In fact, I bought some e-books (PDFs) by mail order, but I think that all of them are good.

Especially, the minimalist explanation for beginners using manga characters is speechless with admiration.

(To be continued)

I'm still working from home.

In order to come to work, I must have a valid reason and the permission of your two levels of superiors.

Well, I think this means "don't come to work".

-----

Compared to many people in the world, I have a "tremendously telecommuting-friendly job", so I shouldn't be extravagant, but there are a lot of issues that have come up.

(1) Real work hours are increasing and my fatigue is deepening.

When I wake, I am able to work, and as a result, I lose sight to stop my work.

(2) Insufficient exercise

Since I don't go out, I don't get enough exercise.

I have a personality that can't take a walk in a daze, so I get tired of walking with reading a book.

The other day I was working in the rain with an umbrella, revising my column manuscript, and I think I walked in a strange way, and I hurt my back.

(3) I can't use the company's clinic.

I am trouble getting the stabilizer (Celsin) that I have always been prescribed.

The last time I had an exception prescribed at a nearby clinic, I'm not sure if I can get it prescribed a second time.

-----

I guess I will have to make up my mind that my life from now on will never return to the way before the coronal disaster.

I've been thinking that I need to make some changes to my life's infrastructure, but it's pretty depressing.

For now, it's about establishing a "stable environment where I can get a prescription for drugs".

The other day,

I wrote that I was watching the movie "Yukio Mishima vs. the University of Tokyo Zenkyoto: 50 Years of Truth" on Amazon Prime.

So, I'm getting interested in "Mishima literature", but before I watched the movie whose title is

"11.25 The Day of Self-Determination: Yukio Mishima and the Youth"

so,

"All at once, I felt blank"

I think, "I don't need any extra direction, just the documentary footage and narration".

I found out that "United Red Army: The Road to Asama-Sanso" was also directed by the same director, so I decided not to watch it.

I know about the Asama-Sanso incident to the extent that every time I go home, I look through the book "United Red Army of Soldiers" that I keep on my parents' bookshelf. That's why I think, "I would be very angry if it was staged in a strange way.

Well, everyone has their own preferences.

It just wasn't right for me.

-----

I need your help.

I have the movie "The Tokyo Trials" on DVD, so if there are any films about Yukio Mishima or the United Red Army that have been edited for documentary footage like "The Tokyo Trials," please let me know.

Also, I would like to ask for the ones in which the All-Academic Congress, the National Committee of the Revolutionary Communist League, the Revolutionary Communist League of Japan, the Revolutionary Marxist Faction, the Revolutionary Workers' Association, etc.

Well, you know, the theme is "internal strife".

I'd like to do some research, and I'd like to get a quick grasp of the general feeling of these exercises from the video.

"'40% of the 20's single men have not had a date' by the government research"

Even if I read an article like that,

"Silence is the best or justice answer"

Recently I come to understand that.

I have been reading a lot of articles on social capital lately.

I might conclude, "There is no de facto standard definition of social capital."

So, I decided to return to the books of the first proponent of the concept and began my own interpretation.

'Friends are bonds' -- I told this story to my wife, and she looked disgusted.

Wife: "Well, it's fine to say 'there is a monetary value to being active in a neighborhood association,' but the idea that a price can be put on a friend' is offensive."

Ebata: "It may be uncomfortable, but it's logical -- there are many people who say that 'money is not the only factor in human happiness,' but this is the same as saying point blank that the premise is 'I don't deny that money is a component of happiness.'"

Wife: "That may be true, though."

Ebata: "Then, that 'something other than money' is probably some 'value. So, suppose we can't talk about happiness based on the number of friends. Who can confidently assert that there is no difference in happiness between being alone and having more than one friend and that it is a matter of subjectivity?

Wife: "..."

Ebata: "I couldn't find a single paper that said the life of disconnected social relationships is happiness,' and the number of communities and friends calculated the total amount of social capital in existing studies."

Wife: "..."

Ebata: "I think it is logically wrong to say that there is a difference in happiness between zero friends and one friend, but not between one and two friends.

-----

However, more friends are not better, which can be explained by the concept of "marginal utility" in economics.

To begin with, the loneliness check questionnaire says the same thing: a friend can put a price on your friend', I think.

Now, what do you think?