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2022-03-18 I'm going to be honest with you. I thought, 'This invasion of Ukraine will end in four days, with Russia in control' [長年日記]

There is this "invasion of Ukraine" and an invasion that (from my point of view) was carried out for almost the same reasons and under the same conditions.

The "Czech Incident" was a military intervention (1968) by Soviet Union-led (now Russian) Warsaw Pact Organization forces.

You may remember them from "Prague Spring" and "The Brezhnev Doctrine."

(Incidentally, Ebata tends to abuse the term "doctrine," but he is quoting from this (Brezhnev Doctrine).

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The "Prague Spring" was the following activities of Czechoslovakia, a socialist state, under the slogan "socialism with a human face" within the socialist system.

(1) Breaking away from one-party rule to the Communist Party

(2) Economic reforms of capitalism, such as the expansion of corporate responsibility and the introduction of market functions

(3) Liberalization of speech and artistic activities

(4) Strengthen economic ties with the West through the introduction of science and technology

The "Czech Incident" was an incident in which Warsaw Pact forces (in effect, Soviet forces) suppressed this activity by force, toppling the current government and establishing a more Soviet (puppet) government.

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I, looked up the time between the military intervention and the armed suppression of this "Czech Incident"

It was "Only two days"

At this time, the public did not fight back, and the West effectively tacitly endorsed the "Brezhnev Doctrine.

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And, well, I know that kind of thing -- I'm going to be honest with you.

I thought, 'This invasion of Ukraine will end in four days, with Russia in control'

In addition, the pattern of the invasion of Afghanistan was assumed: "After that, Russia will be forced to withdraw after 20 years, after being tormented by guerrilla activities in Ukraine" (this is the same as the US Vietnam War).

So now I am really surprised.

"The paradigms and methods of power domination from the 20th century to the present may no longer apply"

I realize that.

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There is also a page in Japanese.

I am considering various types of assistance from the above mentioned sites.

You can also register as a volunteer here.

"I don't think if I register for an entry in IT Product Management, I will be asked to 'participate in a cyber attack on Russia'.

I am not sure whether I will be tried under domestic laws.