The "herd immunity" strategy for the new coronavirus does not hold.

This has already been explained by Dr. Shibata of the "Run Over"

Even elementary school students can understand it (if you can calculate the area of the trapezoid).

----

As mentioned in the column above, in order to establish a "herd immunity acquisition" strategy,

"More than 1.96 million people need to be infected every year"

This is a number that cannot be achieved unless the government actively and systematically spreads the infection.

-----

As of today, the number of people infected with the new coronavirus in Japan is 289,000, and the death toll is 3,850.

If this number is simply applied as it is, in order to establish a "herd immunity acquisition" strategy,

"26,110 deaths annually"

will be needed.

Moreover, this "herd immunity" strategy is uninterrupted.

From now on, we must ensure that 1.96 million people are infected every year and 26,110 people die every year.

-----

Regarding the number of deaths other than lifespan deaths, the numbers written in my head are 4,000 traffic fatalities / year and 20,000 suicides / year.

Those who think that "the number is about the same as this total" may insist on a "herd immunity acquisition" strategy.

However, they must remember

(1) The fight against the new corona is extremely painful (even after the fight), and

(2) If a virus is developed, the only person who died in the "herd immunity acquisition" strategy is "just dead in vain".

-----

Feel free to insist on a "herd immunity" strategy, even if if you know the above facts.