2013|10|11|12|
2014|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2015|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2016|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2017|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2018|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2019|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2020|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2021|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2022|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2023|01|02|03|04|05|06|07|08|09|10|11|12|
2024|01|02|03|04|05|

2015-04-08 The 90% of the draft at that time, is going to be disposed. I have done the accidents twice to the best of my remembrance. [長年日記]

I have a work of a serialization about understanding current issues using numbers.

On the other hand, the politicians and bureaucrats always try to use numbers to explain about their own issues.

In short, numbers are used to befog ordinal people who don't (can't) have habits of calculations.

So I am afraid that many people who read my columns think that Ebata controls numbers in order to justify his opinions.

"If it is true, I can always enjoy my column every time."

It is opposite, to tell you the truth.

When I almost finish writing my column based on my hypothesis, the numbers destroy the hypothesis in just about no time.

The 90% of the draft at that time, is going to be disposed. I have done the accidents twice to the best of my remembrance.

Population prediction and remaining resource problem.

It become a tragedy, even if I misunderstand just one character.

For example, I calculated the deadline of oil-depletion is 2500 years, at first.

Based on this result, I wrote a column that says "You don't have to worry about oil-depletion for a certain time"

And after that, I re-calculated that, I knew the correct answer was 250 years.

Of course, I had to write "You should worry about it as soon as possible" and throw out the draft version.

-----

On my white board in my room, some enormous numbers (like 10 raised to the power of 23) are always written off.

The numbers are too big, so I cannot calculate by even Excel and electronic calculator.

Before controlling the numbers, it is me to be made a fool of by the numbers.