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2014-04-14 The previous day, I tried to calculate "happiness of marriage" with using numeric only. [長年日記]

Yesterday, I told you about "Bayes estimator". Today my company library sent me a good book whose title is "Basic of Bayes statics with Excel".

"Bayes statics" provides us with the method how to calculate "the probability of cooper's profit when wind blows" under the condition of "wind blows, cooper is profitable".

You don't care? Yes it's O.K.

I think the question changes if we use the method for the wedding problem, for example, "what is the probability of marriage when a person meets mixers more than one time every month".

In other words, I think you are interested in the following, "what is the different probability of marriage between one time and two times mixers in a month?

Don't you mind?

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The previous day, I tried to calculate "happiness of marriage" with using numeric only.

In conclusion, I output the calculation results that "Marriage is gamble, but it is valuable for you to bet".

That could not interest the readers.

But I think "leave it to fate" is inferior to "leave it to numeric".

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There were some success cases.

Please watch the super presentation "How I hacked online dating" by Ms.Amy Webb.

After a long interval, I busted into laughing, when seeing a presentation.